The Wuhan flu pandemic and contradictory statements of Vietnamese leaders.

According to the published data, Vietnam has a low number of people infected with Wuhan flu compared to other countries. The number of people infected with Wuhan in Vietnam so far is just over 100.

But prevention policies in Vietnam were noticed very early, when only a few people were affected. It is possible that the number of infected people in Vietnam is not exactly as estimated, but the fact that the Vietnamese government attaches great importance to the prevention of the Vu Han flu is real, even though the way they prevent has its shortcomings, such as the treatment of Chinese citizens and the border with the giant neighbor country.

So far, Mr. Chung (nickname Chung Con), chairman of Hanoi People’s Committee, is among senior officials who have shown a high level of vigilance for the prevention. His speech and actions are always the same, being alert, focused, not look down the issue. After the case of Mr. Nguyen Quang Thuan, a senior party official who went abroad and getting infected with flu, the information about where he went and with whom he met was clarified by Hanoi. The information about him helps the people see the dark side in the lavish lifestyle of senior party officials. Then, Chung responded to the press about his son studying abroad in the US, he advised him to stay there. Although the press is praising the Vietnamese regime’s policy of openly welcoming Vietnamese people from abroad and enjoy free medical treatment, Chung frankly told his son not to go home.

Chairman of Hanoi People’s Committee shared that 3 weeks ago he advised his son to study at the area in the US where COVID-19 epidemic was found to store food and stay indoors for the next 3 months.

This move of Mr. Chung affects the reputation of party cadres, such as luxury living style and sending their offsprings to study in hostile capitalist countries. This also affects himself.

But what he said is consistent about the pandemic prevention.

Speaking of which, many dissidents will think of me as advocating for communist officials. No, I only praise them in the context of this epidemic prevention, not the compliments of the Vietnamese cadres’ resolute determination to justify the other evils of the Vietnamese Communist regime. I myself from the very beginning when the Wuhan pandemic appeared, I did not follow the usual style of criticizing the instructions of the Vietnamese officials in this matter. Just once I complained that the government did not mobilize Vietnamese people in foreign countries to send face masks to the home country. But two days later, the prime minister called on overseas Vietnamese to send masks and antiseptic products home for disease prevention.

Of course, it’s not because I complained about calling for overseas Vietnamese to send masks and antisepsis that the PM followed me. It was not because I criticized the disappearance of the General Secretary cum President during the disease outbreak that Mr. Trong appeared to direct. Those are just natural things to go, like how busy people still have to eat. At 7 pm, if there is no dinner, you feel hungry and you will have dinner one our later.

The government has called on overseas Vietnamese to send masks to the home country, I sent 20,000 masks for charity. Market watchdogs and police officers came to my house. Did I swear? No, I did not curse either. I know their purpose is to check whether I do something else along with giving anti-epidemic masks. When they knew that I did nothing else, the left.

In fact, I do the instinctive philanthropy with a good market adjustment. I know for sure the prices of the mask will go up in a short time, I buy at the normal price, the seller and the carrier deducted their prices for me to do charity. I make profits for selling things people use all their lives but not from mask because I will not sell masks at cheap prices if they are goods that people will use for their whole lives.

Buy 1 and at the time of giving away, its value increased by 5, 7 times. So what is left, even if the masks were sold at zero prices, I still earn a lot, from that the people know me as a trader for other goods. No advertisement can gain such effect!

Saying that for everyone to see, the anti-epidemic guidance of Vietnamese officials is not something worth criticizing at all. Even if they harm me, I don’t hate them. I criticize policies to benefit groups, factions, political intentions. In addition to natural disasters, epidemic prevention, every country officials want to do well, including dictators they also wish the people to be healthy (fine, but not wise) so that they still have errands. It is not clever to wish people weak and unhealthy to avoid being exploited by the rullers.

The anti-epidemic is very complicated, and there are difficulties for democratic institutions, such as restricting travel, banning activities in public places, restaurants, entertainment venues, schools, etc. affect the human right to freedom of movement, business and study in the constitution.

Dictatorship has more advantages, for example it is necessary to issue a ban. But it also has its disadvantages, such as instructions that need the party’s approval. The activities of officials must be consistent with the views of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV). However, notice that, during the recent epidemic, the CPV has given officials the right to fairly broad handling of the epidemic. For example, the case of Mr. Chung Con plucking out the mystery affairs of Mr. Thuan for the purpose of preventing the disease is an example. Or the fact that he proclaimed his son to study in a capitalist country, he told him not to return, it was not for himself and the anti-epidemic in Vietnam.

From this we can see, the anti-epidemic can affect the interests of many people, causing conflicts, conflicts, contradictions.

For example, frantic handling of foreigners returning home during the epidemic season. Nguyen Quoc Duyet, commander of the capital’s headquarters, said the previous day – there are a number of students from rich families asked to locate them in the hotels.

Some students coming back from the EU are descendants of families with conditions, so when they arrived at Noi Bai airport, they showed a lack of cooperation with the authorities. Police, aviation security almost had to force to get into the car to bring these young people to the quarantine area, ”said General Duyet, saying many cases have suggested isolation at the hotel.

However, the head of the Capital Command said that the authorities had the right to agree not to quarantine Vietnamese people in hotels. “We do not have enough medical personnel for doctors to come to the hotel every day to check their health, control the isolated people and prevent infection,” Mr. Duyet said. Exception is made only in case of force majeure, when Army units, field hospitals, residences, dormitories, etc. are full and have to use the hotels far from residential areas for quarantine.

Regarding Hanoi, Mr. Duyet said hotels will not be used for quarantine to prevent comparison between people in quaratine.

Is the communist general correct?

It is true and logical. In this traumatic time, people in the hotel and the people in the quarantine area have psychological comparisons, and those who have money are often the descendants of officials like Chung’s son, or better-off families. Doing so is destabilizing in society.

But only a few hours later, Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc told anyone who needs the hotel to spend money and socialize the epidemic prevention. Phuc is right?

All of you understand that I have no sympathy for him. But asking this, he made a statement contrary to the rational views of the general, right? I also have to say that Phuc is not wrong.

Now the quarantined Vietnamese are people with good incomes in foreign countries. They have money, they return to the country for quarantine, they accept isolation. But they want to spend money to get a better place, nothing wrong. While the hotel has no guests, the staff has no jobs. Collects their money, including wages from the custodian, plus management and supervising costs. It will be better for all sides, including the hotels owners and their staffs

Only those who do not want to spend money but demand for hotel are deserved to be blamed. Those with legitimate money they would be given chance to spend to stay at the hotels. Why ban them. Just satisfy their needs!

Then yesterday came the rice crop, the food security case.

PM Phuc immediately directed to stop exporting rice to ensure food security for the people. He was applauded by the masses, including dissident.

Is Mr. Phuc doing the right thing?

The spirit and responsibility he did were right. Mentally, he kept rice for his people, for his responsibility but did not keep enough rice for people to eat, people dug up his family’s grave.

Yet, Tuan Anh, Minister of Industry and Trade, always stabbed a dispatch asking to reconsider this stop at some point.

Immediately public opinion scolded Mr. Tuan Anh.

Someone asked me, Mr. Gio gave an article about the case of Tuan Anh asking to sell rice. They mean I gave this guy a go to public opinion.

It is reckless, not even to the Minister that Tran Tuan Anh is so stupid that he opposes the Prime Minister’s orders publicly in front of the people, especially the order to stop selling rice that is supported by the people regardless of the faction. As he wanted to export rice, people swear him although rice’s volume is still high. If tomorrow the rice finish, Tuan has no other options but take his family to live exile in other countries.

Tran Tuan Anh sent an official letter to reconsider stopping rice export

You are cursing at Tran Tuan Anh, if you spend a bit of research on the December 2006 decree of the Prime Minister on rice management and Dr. Tran Tien Khai’s article, you will understand many issues. Rice characteristics in Vietnam

  1. For example, Vietnam is the third-largest country in the world in exporting rice. There are over two million rice farming households.
  2. The harvest cycle is short, meaning that only a few months will be harvested again.
  3. Rice importing countries are trying to push up the policy of reducing the price of petrol and fertilizer to their rice growers, and at the same time raising the rice import tax to encourage their people to grow rice to ensure food security for their countries.
  4. The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development of Vietnam is responsible for managing the volume of exported rice after subtracting domestic consumption and food security reserves.
  5. Most of the hundreds of rice exporting enterprises, including the private ones in Vietnam, have no storage and storage capacity. The faster they buy and sell sections, the better for them and the farmers.
  6. The State guarantees intervention so that farmers must earn a profit of 30% on the selling price.
  7. 50% of the exported rice is in pre-signed contracts.

Based on the above statistics, it is easy to understand immediately that the export of rice is unlikely to stop completely. Because if you stop, who will consume rice for farmers? The domestic demand is much lower than the output produced by more than two million farmer households every year.

If so, where to store it? The businesses that export rice store it, as in point 5, they do not have any storage and storage capacity. As for the state, the state plans to build a modern warehouse with a reserve of 4 million tons, and the plan has not been completed after 10 years because it is not determined who is the investor, who operates, who exploits and more. Where’s the money?

Stop exporting rice, do farmers hold rice in their houses?

What about the signed contracts? Who will pay compensation for not performing the contract.

Except for the southwest region which is in drought, but this place has historically only provided rice in the region, the Mekong Delta is the largest granary of the country. The situation of world petrol price decrease, if the government reduces the price of petrol in accordance with correspondingly, the Southeast farmers will have a lot of advantages in rice production. It is not a good practice to stop rice export, it is only practical in psychological satisfaction, not in business and production.

Perhaps the PM’s order to stop rice exports was made in an unpredictable epidemic, requiring drastic and decisive measures, but stopping to assess production and demand. Rather than stopping and hugging, watching each harvest after another harvests rice in a place where there is not enough storage requirement.

Perhaps the order of the Minister of Industry and Trade to remove a couple of points is the signed contracts, freeing up a part of inventory, avoiding crop pressure on the stagnant rice and not knowing how to handle it.

China is not a major import partner of Vietnam rice. The epidemic situation caused China to buy more rice. Last year China bought almost nothing, about 10 thousand tons of Vietnamese rice. This year they bought more, causing the number of rice exported to China to increase. But no matter how much it increased, it was only among the rice volume that was intended to be exported. As if they intended to export 50% of the contracts, they could only buy 50% of the non-contracts. The simplicity is that Vietnam exports 10 tons of rice, of which 5 tons is in the contract, the remaining 5 tons go on their own to find a market to sell. China only bought those 5 tons.

You are glad to hear the order to stop exporting rice, you are sad to hear that China does not import agricultural products such as watermelons and dragon fruits. Of course, watermelon is not a food, but it is also an agricultural product that farmers have to work as much as growing rice. Now, if you don’t export rice, just the next crop, are you willing to “rescue” the rice? You can eat more watermelon, dragon fruit. But the rice is probably hard to eat more. Watermelon can eat two more a week, but rice can not be eating three bowls a meal and then rescued to eat 6 bowls a meal.

So this disease situation, the most inconsistent direction is not necessarily wrong nor who is right.

It is not correct to say that the PM forbids the farmers, nor that the Minister of Industry and Trade exports rice to harm the people.

The thing is to see what level of rice export ban or how much export volume is appropriate for the situation. This should be a few more days to be considered properly.

Người Buôn Gió – Thoibao.đe

The dispatch was sent by Minister of Industry and Trade Tran Tuan Anh on March 24, 2020, proposing to Prime Minister Nguyen Xuan Phuc to suspend the announcement of stopping rice export
Bình luận