The perfect plan of father Nguyen Tan Dung and his son to avoid being attacked by communist leader Nguyen Phu Trong

Most communist officials proceeded to follow a common principle, but exceptions remained. If you want to join the Politburo, you must first become a member of the Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV)’s Central Committee. If anyone is favored, it only needs one term in the Central Committee to join the Politburo like Vo Van Thuong and Tran Tuan Anh. Nguyen Thanh Nghi would have progressed as well, but since Nghi was being targetted by his father’s opponent, Nghi, and his father had to work out a plan to go around, but could not take shortcuts like Tran Tuan Anh or Vo Van Thuong.

The plan goes through the following steps: Step one – becoming a member of the Central Committee to administer a locality, step two: Remaining in the Central Committee but head a central agency, and the third step is to enter the Politburo.

Nguyen Thanh Nghi joined the 12th Central Committee and returned to Kien Giang that he had completed the stage of managing a locality. At the 13th Congress, without the resistance of Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong, Nghi could completely join the Politburo. This is a shortcut for red seeds with a great stature like Nghi. However, with Nghi, now going around is a success. And being re-elected to the Central Committee in the second term can be said to be an initial success. Despite being difficult but not being disciplined, then dismissed or disciplined and then kicked out of the central party, the political career of Nghi would be terminated.

Overcome resistance dramatically.

From the locality to jump to the central agency, there are 3 places to enter. The first is the secretariat, this place has been owned by Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong for 10 years. Second is the government, this place is owned by Mr. Nguyen Xuan Phuc and in the near future, Pham Minh Chinh will. And third is the National Assembly, which is owned by Ms. Nguyen Thi Kim Ngan.

Of the three, the secretariat is the best place to go. Vo Van Thuong himself, for the first time, joined the secretariat of Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong and Mr. Thuong became a member of the Politburo right after only one term as a member of the Central Committee.

The second place where it can be advanced is the government. From the manager of a province to the central government, one will hold a ministry. If you make good efforts from the position of minister, the opportunity to enter the Politburo will also open. Mr. Tran Tuan Anh, when holding the Ministry of Industry and Trade for one term, joined the Politburo and became the head of the Central Economic Commission.

The third place in the National Assembly, which usually receives the out-of-time members of the Central Committee. Most of the members of the Central Committee when drifting back here, it seems that the road of fame has no hope.

With Nguyen Thanh Nghi, it is difficult to join the Secretariat, because the Secretariat is Trong’s territory, so it is not foolish to go to Nghi. It is known that the Secretariat is home to two opposite types of personnel: The first is the highly promoted type like Vo Van Thuong; Pham Minh Chinh; Phan Dinh Trac; Nguyen Hoa Binh etc … And at the same time, Mr. Trong also requisitioned the bureaucracy to be handled. The case of Dinh La Thang is an example. Mr. Thang after being stripped of his position as a member of the Politburo and the position of city party secretary in Ho Chi Minh City, Mr. Trong brought back to work as deputy head of the Central Economic Commission to wait for being disciplined. Or recently, Mr. Trong brought Hanoi former secretary Hoang Trung Hai to the same position.

So what about the case of Nguyen Thanh Nghi? Assuming that Nguyen Thanh Nghi decides to go into the secretariat to get ahead, what would Mr. Trong classify? What kind of seed or what kind of criminal is there waiting to be processed? With a criminal conviction accused of violating the land of Phu Quoc, if Nghi entered the Secretariat, there would be no door to progress.

Choose a safe, slow but steady path.

In fact, being head of a committee on the secretariat is easier to get into the Politburo than it is to head a department in the government. However, with Nghi, getting into the secretariat is like getting into a lobster cave, more or less good. Although being a government minister has lower chances of entering the Politburo, but that is where Nguyen Thanh Nghi’s father once owned. There were also many people thanking Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung, so Nguyen Thanh Nghi got inside it quite safely.

In 2016, Mr. Nguyen Thanh Nghi retreating to Kien Giang is a safe step back

Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung’s plan is that, if in 2016 at the 12th Congress, if he himself can stay in the Politburo for another term, he will arrange his son for Minister of Construction. However, in 2016, when Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung was kicked out of the Politburo by Nguyen Phu Trong, the father, and son of Mr. Dung pulled each other to Kien Giang to build a stable base there first and then to the central government later. This is Nghi’s step backward, but there is no other way because at the central level, the power of Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung is over and Nguyen Xuan Phuc is a man that Nguyen Tan Dung does not trust, so he cannot let Nghi stay in the Ministry of Construction.

If Dung had let Nghi stay in the Ministry of Construction, his son might now have been a candidate to the Politburo. However, it is “if” there is no discipline. But even at the ministerial level, being disciplined, it seems like there’s no way to progress. About Kien Giang is a step backward, but this step is safer. Nguyen Thanh Nghi’s control in Kien Giang province is very tight, there will be rare cases of anyone daring to denounce the central government. However, at the ministerial level, the management is nationwide. That is why Nguyen Thanh Nghi had to step back before he could move forward.

Pham Minh Chinh leaps past the government is a great opportunity for Nghi

From 2011-2016, Mr. Nguyen Xuan Phuc was the standing deputy prime minister and the person closest to Nguyen Tan Dung. At that time, Pham Minh Chinh was still working as a secretary of Quang Ninh province. In the sense that if Mr. Nguyen Xuan Phuc is closer to Nguyen Tan Dung, is there more grace? But not. Mr. Nguyen Xuan Phuc at that time expected Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung not to be re-elected to the Politburo so that he could be promoted to the position of prime minister. So, although Nguyen Xuan Phuc and Nguyen Tan Dung were close, Mr. Dung understands what Mr. Phuc means. Mr. Dung does not trust Mr. Phuc very much.

As for Pham Minh Chinh, it is different. When Mr. Chinh worked as Secretary of Quang Ninh province, the Van Don Special Economic Zone project was a grace that Nguyen Tan Dung passed on to Mr. Pham Minh Chinh to implement. This is a landmark project that has brought Pham Minh Chinh strong forward to the chair of prime minister today. It can be said that between Mr. Pham Minh Chinh and Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung there is quite a deep affection. That is why Nguyen Thanh Nghi avoided being a minister under Nguyen Xuan Phuc’s hands but accepted to be a minister under Pham Minh Chinh’s hands.

Nguyen Thanh Nghi going to the central government should have a reliable umbrella. Especially when going to the central city near Nguyen Phu Trong’s sun, an umbrella is required. Otherwise, the sun will scorch the political career of the conference.

Pham Minh Chinh is the person that Nghi can ally with

This time, it can say that Nghi was quite lucky. If it was not for Pham Minh Chinh who was the prime minister, Nghi would have problems with his minister post.

Nguyen Thanh Nghi, born in 1976, is currently only 45 years old. The age was very young, so it is not too late to start as a minister. Nguyen Thanh Nghi Nghi holds a Ph.D. in Construction Engineering Science, Senior Political Theory, used to work as Vice-Rector of the Ho Chi Minh City University of Architecture and has a period of time as Deputy Minister of Construction. The Ministry of Construction is a convenient place for Nghi to show himself up. Under Pham Minh Chinh, Nguyen Thanh Nghi needed a long-term alliance with the going-to-be PM Pham Minh Chinh to climb the higher ladder later.

Wind waves have passed but not completely

The mobilization of Nguyen Thanh Nghi was described by the media as maximizing the experience of the staff in the fields with deep knowledge about the central government, creating a source of strategic-level cadres when it is necessary to arrange and use. However, in fact, the knowledgeable world understands that the mobilization is the plan to remind or destroy the object, it depends on the position of the transfer. The staff transfer policy has two aspects, the right side is “creating leadership experience.” But the flip side is the complicated fighting and support process in the Communist Party.

According to the former Deputy Head of the Central Organizing Committee, speaking in the state media, he said: “In many cases, the Provincial Party Committee Secretary is appointed as a deputy minister. If anyone is old, has a good reputation, the future can continue to be planned as a minister. But not all of that, but also someone who will hold the position of deputy minister until retirement. The transfer is not always the same idea.”

The mobilization of the Secretary of the Provincial Party Committee to be a Deputy Minister is all in the case that Nguyen Thanh Nghi has the hand of Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung, so this issue is positive for the transferee. It can be said that this movie still has a deep impression of Mr. Nguyen Thanh Nghi when his influence is still considerable. But after 5 years, I am afraid that, if Mr. Nguyen Tan Dung’s influence is not much, Mr. Nguyen Thanh Nghi also needs to create a firm stance for himself.

Currently, Nghi stands under Pham Minh Chinh is temporarily relieved, but not completely ease when Mr. Nguyen Phu Trong is still continuing his third term. We have to wait to see how strong is Nghi. (Translated)